Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Bullet Hell

Of 68 developers who shipped a Bullet Hell Beat 'em up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 105 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 35 developers shipped in the last year and 105 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 105 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $1.3k → $599 → $416 → $210 → $358 → $299 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,019)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 220
Announced 105
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up, Bullet Hell; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 2,749 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 105 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Furi older $19.99 11,246 90% 337k $6.7M (exactly $6,744,226) The Game Bakers
Gensokyo Night Festival · EA older $12.99 4,497 69% 135k $1.8M (exactly $1,752,481) WSS playground, tea_basira
Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef older $19.99 2,586 87% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,550,824) Rogueside
Full Metal Furies older $19.99 2,108 91% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,264,168) Cellar Door Games
GOD FORSAKEN $13.99 1,728 67% 52k $725k (exactly $725,242) insight studio
UFO ROBOT GRENDIZER – The Feast of the Wolves older $39.99 559 84% 17k $671k (exactly $670,632) Endroad
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Skybreakers older $8.99 629 75% 19k $170k (exactly $169,641) Bingo Studio
Pulling No Punches older $9.99 563 95% 17k $169k (exactly $168,731) BrainDead Broccoli
SealChain: Call of Blood $8.99 537 56% 16k $145k (exactly $144,829) AliveGameStudio
Yuri Sword Saga $10.99 212 97% 6.4k $70k (exactly $69,896) Pico Games
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
Banner of Conquest $4.99 89 65% 2.7k $13k (exactly $13,323) Haojoy Game
Adrenaline Rampage $14.99 26 88% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Midhard Games
Apocalypse Survivors $8.99 26 57% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) The Last One
Project Lazarus 2 $6.99 33 75% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) Terapoly
PopSlinger Vol. 2 - Loveless $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Funky Can Creative
DASHPUNCH $7.99 17 100% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) DoubleV

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.