Games › Racing › Racing + Alternate History
Should I ship an Alternate-History Racing game?
Racing + Alternate History
Only 8 developers shipped an Alternate-History Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Octopus Goulash, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 5% | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Racing
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 899 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
7th Sector 2019 · $212k 
Future Racer 2000 2023 · $17k 
The Legend of Bear-Truck Trucker 2021 · $7.8k 
Zaacar 2021 · EA · $4.7k 
Octopus Goulash 2026 · $3.9k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 7th Sector | older | $10.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $212k (exactly $211,997) | Носков Сергей |
| | Future Racer 2000 | older | $4.99 | 111 92% | 3.3k | $17k (exactly $16,617) | Tim Oxton |
| | The Legend of Bear-Truck Trucker | older | $4.99 | 52 98% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Captain Games |
| | Zaacar | · EA older | $11.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Axoora |
| | Octopus Goulash | $12.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) | Alessio Serenellini | |
 | Midnight Legends | older | $1.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $2.0k (exactly $2,030) | Mihanikus Games |
 | Hassle 1977 | older | $12.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $1.9k (exactly $1,948) | Limkernel Gamedev Gang |
 | Shin Lotion Samurai | older | $2.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) | Retsu Teikoku |
 | Carperation | older | $14.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Vastudio |
 | Junk on Wheels | older | $9.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Infravision Inc. |
 | The Last Delivery Man On Earth | $7.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Rebind | |
 | Wild West Saloon Simulator | · EA | $7.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Walty Games |
 | Careening | · EA | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Sean N Richardson |
 | Car May Fly | · EA | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | carmayflystudio |
 | Pizza Rogue: P.P.M.P.D.E.S. | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Seaweaver, Snowifer | |
 | 非凡：out of the ordinary | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 阿弥陀佛 | |
 | Great Meme Reset 2026 | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Meme Masters 1337 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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