Do I ship it?

GamesLevel EditorLevel Editor + Alternate History

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alternate-History Level Editor game?

Level Editor + Alternate History

Only 8 developers shipped an Alternate-History Level Editor game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Age of History 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $33k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 53.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Level Editor + Alternate History
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Level Editor + Alternate History: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $6.9k (exactly $6,920)
Median $33k (exactly $33,278)
Top 25% $187k (exactly $186,666)
Top 5% $5.4M (exactly $5,425,169)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Alternate History
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Level Editor
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 56,911 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $7.0k, median $33k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $5.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $7.0k. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Level Editor with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Multiple EndingsFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  4. + Time AttackFair12 devs · median $748 · 14 announced
  5. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $719 · 12 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair51 devs · median $598 · 62 announced
  7. + AutomationLong shot27 devs · median $300 · 32 announced
  8. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  9. + TrainsPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 11 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds22 devs · median $43k · 46 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds20 devs · median $24k · 50 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds36 devs · median $19k · 111 announced

All 136 pairs on the Level Editor page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Age of History 3 $9.99 18,102 85% 543k $5.4M (exactly $5,425,169) Łukasz Jakowski
Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3 older $6.96 14,605 85% 438k $3.0M (exactly $3,049,524) EA Los Angeles
Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator · EA older $6.99 8,904 96% 267k $1.9M (exactly $1,867,169) JoySpark Games
Sweet Transit older $34.99 1,119 67% 34k $1.2M (exactly $1,174,614) Ernestas Norvaišas
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Command & Conquer: Red Alert 3 - Uprising older $6.96 4,572 84% 137k $955k (exactly $954,634) EA Los Angeles
Ultimate Arena older $7.99 811 83% 24k $194k (exactly $194,397) Triverske
Warnament $12.99 479 84% 14k $187k (exactly $186,666) Luden.io
States of Power $11.99 344 88% 10k $124k (exactly $123,737) Sarunas
Earth vs Mars $14.99 74 85% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Relic Entertainment
Observe · EA $7.99 74 91% 2.2k $18k (exactly $17,738) Kisotik Games
Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced $6.99 33 75% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) KDV Games
MUKKE: Music Machine $7.99 25 96% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) APETENSE Interactive
Morse vs. Horse $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Company with your friends

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.