Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Alternate History

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alternate-History Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Alternate History

Only 14 developers shipped an Alternate-History Beat 'em up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Arisen Force: HeroTest, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Alternate History
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Alternate History: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $123k (exactly $123,308)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Alternate History
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 509 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SD GUNDAM BATTLE ALLIANCE older $59.99 4,892 62% 147k $8.8M (exactly $8,804,132) ARTDINK
Tales Of Glory older $10.99 1,042 80% 31k $344k (exactly $343,547) BlackTale Games
Slave Zero X older $24.99 438 75% 13k $328k (exactly $328,369) Poppy Works
Arisen Force: HeroTest $10.99 374 82% 11k $123k (exactly $123,308) Lemport
Crazy Flasher 7 Mercenary Empire(stand-alone Version) older $3.99 261 52% 7.8k $31k (exactly $31,242) Andy Law
DEAD DAYLIGHT $2.99 71 88% 2.1k $6.4k (exactly $6,369) KARMIU
Fuhrer in LA - Special Edition older $1.99 102 93% 3.1k $6.1k (exactly $6,089) Ankaar Productions
Tenebris Pictura older $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Pentadimensional Games SL
War of Wheels · EA $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Dreambits Studio
Arm of Revenge Re-Edition older $4.99 37 75% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MagicWing
Agent Fall $4.99 24 95% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Pufferfish Digital
BloodBound Knights $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Gabtrex
Hard as Hell $0.99 14 85% 420 $416 (exactly $416) L4S Games, KAPPIRE
Election FighterZ: Kamala vs trump $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Steven Silverstein
OESM - Sacred Story $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) CDIS Lab.
MAGA Simulator 2077 $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Luke Gayson
CORE · EA $5.00 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) FrankFurtFiggleHorn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.