Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Mining game?

Mining + Aliens

Only 13 developers shipped an Alien Mining game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Starminer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×3443 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 37 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $6.9k → $2.7k → $14k (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,178)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 40
Announced 37
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 450% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 5,586 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hidden Deep · EA older $24.99 4,293 76% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,218,462) Cogwheel Software
Wall World older $6.99 11,353 90% 341k $2.4M (exactly $2,380,724) Alawar
Starminer · EA $29.99 1,818 72% 55k $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) CoolAndGoodGames
Interstellar Rift older $19.99 1,411 66% 42k $846k (exactly $846,177) Split Polygon
The Spotter: Dig or Die $12.99 1,792 84% 54k $698k (exactly $698,342) Puppyroar Games
Wall World 2 $11.99 1,749 73% 52k $629k (exactly $629,115) Alawar
DIG Raiders: Anomaly Extraction $9.99 74 86% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Soda Game Studio
Sporbs $4.99 92 78% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Who Nose Studios
VOID CRAWLER older $3.99 82 87% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Ricardo Pratas
Fairspace older $8.99 28 64% 840 $7.6k (exactly $7,552) Sub Orbital Software
IDLE: Intergalactic Defense League Exterminators $5.99 34 64% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) PolyB Games
Rescue Team: Lights. Camera. Outer Space $6.99 13 76% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Game Mixer
Neon Colony $12.99 5 100% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) ABCA Studios
Space Trader Corps $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) D Squires
Mega Roids $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) PSD Labs LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.