Do I ship it?

GamesLevel EditorLevel Editor + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Level Editor game?

Level Editor + Aliens

Only 9 developers shipped an Alien Level Editor game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Earth vs Mars, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Level Editor + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Level Editor + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $33,278)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 38
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Level Editor
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 15,931 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Level Editor with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Multiple EndingsFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  4. + Time AttackFair12 devs · median $748 · 14 announced
  5. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $719 · 12 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair51 devs · median $598 · 62 announced
  7. + AutomationLong shot27 devs · median $300 · 32 announced
  8. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  9. + TrainsPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 11 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds22 devs · median $43k · 46 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds20 devs · median $24k · 50 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds36 devs · median $19k · 111 announced

All 136 pairs on the Level Editor page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars™ older $6.96 8,777 89% 263k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,638) EA Los Angeles
Command & Conquer™ 3: Kane’s Wrath older $6.96 5,499 93% 165k $1.1M (exactly $1,148,191) EA Los Angeles
变量 Variables older $10.99 954 86% 29k $315k (exactly $314,534) Asteroid Game Studio
Siege of Centauri older $14.99 350 64% 11k $157k (exactly $157,395) Stardock Entertainment
Incredipede older $9.99 153 79% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Colin Northway with art by Thomas Shahan
Earth vs Mars $14.99 74 85% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Relic Entertainment
Astronimo older $14.99 47 80% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Coatsink
Absolute Territory older $9.99 26 61% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Digitum Software
Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced $6.99 33 75% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) KDV Games
Sci-fi builder older $9.99 18 50% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Games For Pleasure
UniWar $7.99 14 71% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Spooky House
Blow it up $4.99 18 100% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Brain Seal Ltd
Save New York 2030 $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Black Belt Logic LLC
Gooper $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) CactusJock
Driftscape: Void · EA $5.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Three Brothers Games
Hand Cannon: Janky Reality $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Suicidal Robot Games
Doomed Stars $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mischief & Mayhem Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.