Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Aliens

Only 16 developers shipped an Alien Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Earth vs Mars, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $33k, ×70 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $3.1k → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,930)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $33,278)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 35
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Grid-Based Movement; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelite, Arcade, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 278 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Shattered Planet older $14.99 406 68% 12k $183k (exactly $182,578) Kitfox Games
The Last Cube older $19.99 129 96% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Improx Games
Corrupted: Dawn of Havoc · EA older $14.99 75 65% 2.3k $34k (exactly $33,728) 36Litters
Earth vs Mars $14.99 74 85% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Relic Entertainment
Astro Protocol $11.99 66 93% 2.0k $24k (exactly $23,740) Null Vector Studios
Star Traders: 4X Empires older $9.99 61 60% 1.8k $18k (exactly $18,282) Trese Brothers
ALAN-13 Reformation older $15.99 34 82% 1.0k $16k (exactly $16,310) Viktor Kovács
WORMHOLE $9.99 51 98% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Pocket Moon Games, ThanaThan
Celestial Project older $9.99 35 71% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) KumaPaw
Horizons: The End Of Words $5.99 33 87% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
Hexitten $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Korkea Maki Studios
Fungal Colony Sim 2 $7.99 13 61% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Skylor Beck
the travelers $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Gabriel Games LLC
Asterogue $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Chris McCormick
Totally Defenceless $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) render
ScaleBox $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) EGGNISI

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.