Do I ship it?

GamesSnowboardingSnowboarding + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Snowboarding game?

Snowboarding + Action

Only 11 developers shipped an Action Snowboarding game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Descenders Next, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×557 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Snowboarding + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $359 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Snowboarding + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,255)
Top 5% $350k (exactly $349,983)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 42
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Snowboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Snowboarding, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 654 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Snowboarding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsDead7 devs · median $99k · 17 announced
  2. + SkiingDead7 devs · median $44k · 16 announced
  3. + SimulationDead4 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  4. + SportsDead12 devs · median $599 · 26 announced
  5. + ArcadeDead9 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  6. + RacingDead7 devs · median $599 · 18 announced

All 6 pairs on the Snowboarding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game older $39.99 18,400 86% 552k $22M (exactly $22,074,480) Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd
Shredders older $29.99 3,818 94% 115k $3.4M (exactly $3,435,055) FoamPunch
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games
The Snowboard Game older $14.99 309 82% 9.3k $139k (exactly $138,957) Let it roll AB
The Fancy Pants Adventures: Classic Pack · EA older $9.99 414 84% 12k $124k (exactly $124,076) Borne Games
The Alto Collection older $9.99 263 94% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Land & Sea
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Snowlike $7.99 14 92% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) captinbeefy
P-PAN $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) palpuni
SantaCorps 4 $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Virtuoso Neomedia
Hydrofoil Surfing $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Nightwork Studios
Space Punk · EA $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) ShyneB0X Studios
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Yeti Ski $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RetroBug

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.