Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Racing game?

Racing + 2D Platformer

Of 113 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 65 developers shipped in the last year and 81 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 81 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 113
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $60 → $60 → $359 → $89 → $120 → $299 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 113
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $119 (exactly $119)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,372)
Developers, 2 yr 113
Released games 323
Announced 81
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, 2D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,380 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 70 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Dino Run DX older $5.99 1,124 95% 34k $202k (exactly $201,983) Pixeljam
SpeedRunners 2: King of Speed $9.99 447 55% 13k $134k (exactly $133,966) Fair Play Labs
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
JumpJet Rex older $9.99 248 91% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) TreeFortress Games
Grand Prix Story older $8.99 214 89% 6.4k $58k (exactly $57,716) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Duck Life: Retro Pack older $5.99 242 83% 7.3k $43k (exactly $43,487) Wix Games
Duck Life 4 older $4.99 261 86% 7.8k $39k (exactly $39,072) Wix Games
Funtasia older $14.99 69 57% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Fantastico Studio
Sex Beats $9.99 62 77% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Naku Kinoko
Tick Hop $2.99 196 79% 5.9k $18k (exactly $17,581) 小磊又饿又困
Bauhaus Bonk $7.99 73 100% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Spoonful Games
RunMan: Race Around the World $9.99 49 100% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Tom Sennett Games
泳装乱舞 $3.99 95 75% 2.9k $11k (exactly $11,372) 1v1combat
Duck Life 4 Classic $4.99 64 90% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Wix Games
Sprint City · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Second Stage Studio
Xion Leak $8.99 34 100% 1.0k $9.2k (exactly $9,170) Gentle Beasts Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.