Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Conspiracy

Only 15 developers shipped a Conspiracy 2D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sacre Bleu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $960 against a market of $480. 55 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 55 announced, ×14 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $59 → $539 → $719 → $1.2k → $6.1k
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,115)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,686)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 56
Announced 55
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
2D Platformer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 162 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $960, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alex Jones: NWO Wars older $17.76 1,745 92% 52k $930k (exactly $929,736) NWO Wars Team
Oddworld: Soulstorm Enhanced Edition older $39.99 504 65% 15k $605k (exactly $604,649) Oddworld Inhabitants
Billionaire Lovers older $2.99 3,652 95% 110k $328k (exactly $327,584) Ayacat Games
雪之本境S Conspiracy Field: Snow Trap older $6.99 531 66% 16k $111k (exactly $111,351) SP-time
Hero Roy's Wedding older $6.99 230 74% 6.9k $48k (exactly $48,231) SwordRP5
hallucination - 幻觉 older $9.99 121 84% 3.6k $36k (exactly $36,264) 灰烬天国
Sacre Bleu $14.99 46 82% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Hildring Studio Inc
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio
Polda 3 older $3.99 123 98% 3.7k $15k (exactly $14,723) Zima software
Meme Run 2 older $4.20 67 85% 2.0k $8.4k (exactly $8,442) Jordan Schuetz
アルタイル号の殺人 $10.99 24 87% 720 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) orange
Crystal Gaiden Origins $11.99 17 94% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) Onipunks
Paw Paw Destiny $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Daiyu.studio
1964 Operation Velvet Twins $5.99 8 87% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) SEEP
心所向往的北极星 $3.99 10 80% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) 游星Yusei网络
Royal Goldenbeak and the Curse of Snowy Island $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Outside the Zoo
Gisselle's Adventure $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Serch Onodera
Wild Radio Flux $19.99 1 0% 30 $600 (exactly $600) K Storm Studio Ltd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.