Do I ship it?

GamesScore AttackScore Attack + Visual Novel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Visual Novel Score Attack game?

Score Attack + Visual Novel

Only 19 developers shipped a Visual Novel Score Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Denshattack!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×3674 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Score Attack + Visual Novel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $2.5k → $5.7k → $179 (still earning) → $23k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Score Attack + Visual Novel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,353)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,745,127)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 61
Announced 17
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Visual Novel
effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Score Attack, Visual Novel; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Rhythm
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 3,746 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Score Attack with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair23 devs · median $6.2k · 24 announced
  2. + Spectacle fighterFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  3. + DragonsFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  4. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $1.7k · 14 announced
  5. + CookingFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  6. + SuperheroFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 5 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair112 devs · median $1.2k · 104 announced
  8. + GolfFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  9. + GothicFair20 devs · median $959 · 14 announced
  10. + ModernFair53 devs · median $899 · 43 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + UndergroundFair23 devs · median $748 · 18 announced

All 200 pairs on the Score Attack page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Denshattack! $19.99 2,910 98% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,745,127) Undercoders
Gal*Gun Returns older $49.99 240 85% 7.2k $360k (exactly $359,928) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To $19.99 239 94% 7.2k $143k (exactly $143,328) Soft Not Weak, LLC
PROJEKT GODHAND $15.80 158 96% 4.7k $75k (exactly $74,892) Anarch Entertainment
NOISZ older $19.99 116 95% 3.5k $70k (exactly $69,565) Anarch Entertainment
Asterika: Phantom Rose Refrain $14.99 126 95% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) makaroll
Puppergeist $4.99 156 95% 4.7k $23k (exactly $23,353) Serenity Forge
Pretty Girls Panic! older $1.99 277 83% 8.3k $17k (exactly $16,537) Zoo Corporation
Moon Dancer older $14.99 35 97% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) TERARIN GAMES
Flappatron older $1.99 140 95% 4.2k $8.4k (exactly $8,358) Dexter Manning
Erogoddess: Mirage $5.99 33 96% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) Moobly
Casting Clicker $2.99 63 76% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,651) Inspite
Hate-Spam the VTuber: Keyboard Warrior Simulator! $3.99 33 84% 990 $4.0k (exactly $3,950) PUGELLAGAMES
EmyLiveShow: BossRush $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Team Emily
Soul Stake $3.99 11 90% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) Tap-Tap Legends

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.