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Should I ship a Visual Novel Score Attack game?
Score Attack + Visual Novel
Only 19 developers shipped a Visual Novel Score Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Denshattack!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×3674 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
| Top 25% | $23k (exactly $23,353) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,745,127) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Score Attack
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Score Attack, Visual Novel; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Rhythm
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 97% positive over 3,746 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Score Attack with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MechsFair
- + Spectacle fighterFair
- + DragonsFair
- + VampiresFair
- + CookingFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + GolfFair
- + GothicFair
- + ModernFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + UndergroundFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Denshattack! | $19.99 | 2,910 98% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,745,127) | Undercoders | |
| | Gal*Gun Returns | older | $49.99 | 240 85% | 7.2k | $360k (exactly $359,928) | INTI CREATES CO., LTD. |
| | Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To | $19.99 | 239 94% | 7.2k | $143k (exactly $143,328) | Soft Not Weak, LLC | |
| | PROJEKT GODHAND | $15.80 | 158 96% | 4.7k | $75k (exactly $74,892) | Anarch Entertainment | |
| | NOISZ | older | $19.99 | 116 95% | 3.5k | $70k (exactly $69,565) | Anarch Entertainment |
| | Asterika: Phantom Rose Refrain | $14.99 | 126 95% | 3.8k | $57k (exactly $56,662) | makaroll | |
| | Puppergeist | $4.99 | 156 95% | 4.7k | $23k (exactly $23,353) | Serenity Forge | |
| | Pretty Girls Panic! | older | $1.99 | 277 83% | 8.3k | $17k (exactly $16,537) | Zoo Corporation |
| | Moon Dancer | older | $14.99 | 35 97% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | TERARIN GAMES |
| | Flappatron | older | $1.99 | 140 95% | 4.2k | $8.4k (exactly $8,358) | Dexter Manning |
| | Erogoddess: Mirage | $5.99 | 33 96% | 990 | $5.9k (exactly $5,930) | Moobly | |
| | Casting Clicker | $2.99 | 63 76% | 1.9k | $5.7k (exactly $5,651) | Inspite | |
| | Hate-Spam the VTuber: Keyboard Warrior Simulator! | $3.99 | 33 84% | 990 | $4.0k (exactly $3,950) | PUGELLAGAMES | |
| | EmyLiveShow: BossRush | $4.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Team Emily | |
| | Soul Stake | $3.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Tap-Tap Legends |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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