Do I ship it?

GamesScore AttackScore Attack + Underwater

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underwater Score Attack game?

Score Attack + Underwater

Only 13 developers shipped an Underwater Score Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Critical Fishing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $4.4k, ×7.1 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Score Attack + Underwater
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $3.4k → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Score Attack + Underwater: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $959 (exactly $959)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,485)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 47
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Underwater
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Fishing, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.79 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.79 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 124 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Score Attack with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair23 devs · median $6.2k · 24 announced
  2. + Spectacle fighterFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  3. + DragonsFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  4. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $1.7k · 14 announced
  5. + CookingFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  6. + SuperheroFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 5 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair112 devs · median $1.2k · 104 announced
  8. + GolfFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  9. + GothicFair20 devs · median $959 · 14 announced
  10. + ModernFair53 devs · median $899 · 43 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + UndergroundFair23 devs · median $748 · 18 announced

All 200 pairs on the Score Attack page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
Darius Cozmic Collection Arcade older $44.99 151 94% 4.5k $204k (exactly $203,805) TAITO CORP., M2 Co.,LTD
G-Darius HD older $29.99 158 94% 4.7k $142k (exactly $142,153) TAITO CORP., M2 Co., Ltd.
Fishlike older $4.99 176 89% 5.3k $26k (exactly $26,347) JJJ
100 hidden fish older $0.99 499 95% 15k $15k (exactly $14,820) Anatoliy Loginovskikh, Аlexandr Telminov
Critical Fishing $2.99 50 96% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) lazygun
Fishing Mega-Game $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Peep
Queen of Seas older $0.99 145 80% 4.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) KomBits Game Studio
Pipeline VR older $9.50 14 100% 420 $4.0k (exactly $3,990) Everwake Games
Subway Train Simulator 2D older $4.99 26 96% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Daniel Viktorin
Don't Drown $4.99 23 100% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Snoutical
Reel it! World Fishing $12.79 3 66% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,151) SAT-BOX
Shrimp Escape $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) TheCyberYak
Cool Game Pack $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) COOL 2 Interactive
Reel it! Ocean Fishing $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) SAT-BOX
Reel it! Fishing $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) SAT-BOX
Wave 43 $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Alien Game Studio
Pull Out! Spotted Garden Eels $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) N-SEED GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.