Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Score Attack game?

Score Attack + Nature

Of 81 developers who shipped a Nature Score Attack game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 50 developers shipped in the last year and 81 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 81 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Score Attack + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 81
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $628 → $359 → $300 → $239 → $599 → $719 → $449 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Score Attack + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 81
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,501)
Developers, 2 yr 81
Released games 217
Announced 81
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Score Attack; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Action, Physics
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,113 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. Nearly all of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Score Attack with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair23 devs · median $6.2k · 24 announced
  2. + Spectacle fighterFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  3. + DragonsFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  4. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $1.7k · 14 announced
  5. + CookingFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  6. + SuperheroFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 5 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair112 devs · median $1.2k · 104 announced
  8. + GolfFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  9. + GothicFair20 devs · median $959 · 14 announced
  10. + ModernFair53 devs · median $899 · 43 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  12. + UndergroundFair23 devs · median $748 · 18 announced

All 200 pairs on the Score Attack page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Driftwood 2025 · $718k Kayak VR: Mirage 2022 · $694k TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE- 2025 · $457k Touch Some Grass 2022 · $49k Evergarden 2018 · $36k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE- $24.99 610 87% 18k $457k (exactly $457,317) ARIKA
Touch Some Grass older $1.99 820 94% 25k $49k (exactly $48,954) jpm_games
Evergarden older $9.99 120 87% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) Flippfly LLC
Pie in the Sky $12.99 63 100% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Monster Shop Games
True Disc Golf $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Sportsmanlike Games
Beekyr Reloaded older $9.99 76 81% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) KaleidoGames
Huge Jaws older $24.99 23 65% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) Piece Of Voxel
Froguelike · EA older $2.99 169 96% 5.1k $15k (exactly $15,159) Johanna Josefsson, Rémi Fusade
Game With Balls $5.99 64 95% 1.9k $12k (exactly $11,501) Geert Verhoeff
Mycofall · EA $7.99 39 71% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Lazy KodKod Games
Frogmageddon $4.99 45 91% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Frog Mage Udon, Sunset Dreamland
Inflafrog: Collector's Edition $4.99 28 100% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Nice Cream
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Idyllic cats: Japan $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) GameRED indie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.