Do I ship it?

GamesTypingTyping + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Typing game?

Typing + Mystery

Of 39 developers who shipped a Mystery Typing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×295 the market median. Revenue is up 305% on the market; 51 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 305% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Typing + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $7.2k → $248k → $360 → $1.2k → $3.1k → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Typing + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $360 (exactly $360)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,549)
Top 5% $140k (exactly $139,902)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 92
Announced 51
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 305% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Typing
effort 1 / 10 · high · keyboard input against a word list
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Typing; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Text-Based, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,723 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Typing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds7 devs · median $7.2k · 7 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair10 devs · median $8.2k · 10 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + Female ProtagonistFair31 devs · median $4.0k · 24 announced
  5. + DetectiveFair24 devs · median $2.8k · 31 announced
  6. + RogueliteFair29 devs · median $2.4k · 34 announced
  7. + CombatFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 16 announced
  10. + HackingFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  11. + TacticalFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  12. + ModernFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced

All 68 pairs on the Typing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Home Safety Hotline older $14.99 2,763 90% 83k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,521) Night Signal Entertainment
CaseCracker older $9.99 3,314 89% 99k $993k (exactly $993,206) BlackRobe
Event[0] older $19.99 1,449 79% 43k $869k (exactly $868,965) Ocelot Society
DEAD LETTER DEPT. $14.99 1,777 95% 53k $799k (exactly $799,117) Mike Monroe, Belief Engine
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
The Crimson Diamond older $14.99 653 96% 20k $294k (exactly $293,654) Julia Minamata
CaseCracker2 older $11.99 759 90% 23k $273k (exactly $273,012) BlackRobe
Turlock Holmes older $9.99 897 80% 27k $269k (exactly $268,831) Find the Lamp Games
Black Lily's Tale older $18.99 438 86% 13k $250k (exactly $249,529) 1000-REKA
Uncover the Smoking Gun older $19.99 414 96% 12k $248k (exactly $248,276) ReLU Games, Inc.
CaseCracker3 $12.99 359 84% 11k $140k (exactly $139,902) BlackRobe
Sofia in Exchange for Lies $25.99 164 81% 4.9k $128k (exactly $127,871) MUTAN, storynote
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
Cyber Warrior $19.99 39 84% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dunke Games
Gumshoe Detective Agency: The First Case $9.99 56 73% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Birdy Interactive
[Redacted] The Safehouse $3.99 137 99% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,399) Heartbeast
Blackdoor $12.99 20 85% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Static Signal
Hate You $7.99 23 95% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) PALINI
Coldwake $3.99 38 100% 1.1k $4.5k (exactly $4,549) MadLeap Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.