Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Tower Defense?

Local Co-Op + Tower Defense

Of 21 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Tower Defense in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $72k, ×153 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 44 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $651k → $2.7k → $16k → $3.6k → $716 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $72,860)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 93
Announced 44
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Tower Defense; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Strategy, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoon, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 7,187 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $72k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™ older $29.99 15,372 71% 461k $14M (exactly $13,830,188) PopCap
Plants vs. Zombies™: Replanted $19.99 6,898 66% 207k $4.1M (exactly $4,136,731) PopCap Games, The Lost Pixels
HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed older $24.99 3,798 90% 114k $2.8M (exactly $2,847,361) Digital Cybercherries
X-Morph: Defense older $19.99 3,272 90% 98k $2.0M (exactly $1,962,218) EXOR Studios
Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ older $14.99 2,792 90% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) ACE Team
Kingdom Eighties older $11.99 3,001 75% 90k $1.1M (exactly $1,079,460) Fury Studios
DG2: Defense Grid 2 older $9.99 2,704 86% 81k $810k (exactly $810,389) Hidden Path Entertainment
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
Toy Soldiers: Complete older $14.99 989 78% 30k $445k (exactly $444,753) Signal Studios, Krome Studios
CastleStorm older $9.99 1,262 89% 38k $378k (exactly $378,221) Zen Studios
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
Monarchy $14.99 47 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Brain Seal Ltd
Wild Ice $19.99 17 100% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Journey Bound Games
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
No Heroes Here 2 $19.99 13 61% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mad Mimic
Crypt Crawler $7.99 15 100% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Wild Domain
Dark Fantasy Tower Defense $7.99 14 78% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) CinderVision
Sidewalk Simulator · EA $3.99 22 95% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) XCCWARE LLC
Glorpotron $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Bitwise Botworks, Inc

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.