Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Shoot 'Em Up?

Local Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up

Of 90 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 106 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×255 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 106 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 106 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 90
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $4.8k → $1.0k → $1.5k → $3.6k → $1.4k → $1.3k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 90
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,169)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,736)
Top 5% $121k (exactly $120,969)
Developers, 2 yr 90
Released games 473
Announced 106
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Shoot 'Em Up; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 5,645 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 106 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cuphead older $19.99 198,790 96% 6.0M $119M (exactly $119,214,363) Studio MDHR Entertainment Inc.
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Guns, Gore and Cannoli 2 older $12.99 4,742 94% 142k $1.8M (exactly $1,847,957) Rogueside, Claeysbrothers
METAL SLUG 3 older $7.99 6,976 90% 209k $1.7M (exactly $1,672,147) SNK CORPORATION, Dotemu
Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef older $19.99 2,586 87% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,550,824) Rogueside
Beat Hazard older $9.99 5,072 95% 152k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,078) Cold Beam Games
Lovers in a Dangerous Spacetime older $14.99 3,368 93% 101k $1.5M (exactly $1,514,590) Asteroid Base
Greedland $12.99 2,919 83% 88k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534) VaMP He
METAL SLUG older $7.99 4,507 89% 135k $1.1M (exactly $1,080,328) Dotemu
DARIUSBURST Chronicle Saviours older $49.99 717 82% 22k $1.1M (exactly $1,075,285) Pyramid
Iron Meat $19.99 982 96% 29k $589k (exactly $588,905) Ivan Valeryevich Suvorov, Retroware
Platypus Reclayed $14.99 641 99% 19k $288k (exactly $288,258) Claymatic Games
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
Truxton Extreme $24.99 93 95% 2.8k $70k (exactly $69,722) Tatsujin
Revolgear Zero $14.99 125 98% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Bikkuri Software
UNDER DEFEAT $19.99 81 95% 2.4k $49k (exactly $48,576) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
R-Type Dimensions III $34.99 46 34% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) KRITZELKRATZ 3000

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.