Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Roguelite?

Local Co-Op + Roguelite

Of 112 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 169 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×2395 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 169 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 169 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 112
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $123k → $81k → $8.4k → $4.8k → $2.2k → $6.7k → $1.6k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 112
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,473)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534)
Developers, 2 yr 112
Released games 347
Announced 169
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Action Roguelike
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 43,270 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 50 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 169 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth older $14.99 415,060 96% 12M $187M (exactly $186,652,482) Nicalis, Inc., Edmund McMillen
Vampire Survivors older $4.99 251,686 98% 7.6M $38M (exactly $37,677,394) poncle
Enter the Gungeon older $14.99 79,392 95% 2.4M $36M (exactly $35,702,582) Dodge Roll
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
Brotato older $4.99 111,407 95% 3.3M $17M (exactly $16,677,628) Blobfish
Children of Morta older $21.99 18,213 88% 546k $12M (exactly $12,015,116) Dead Mage
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
Crypt of the NecroDancer older $14.99 23,593 95% 708k $11M (exactly $10,609,772) Brace Yourself Games
Streets of Rogue older $19.99 17,215 96% 516k $10M (exactly $10,323,836) Matt Dabrowski
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Absolum $24.99 9,399 91% 282k $7.0M (exactly $7,046,430) Dotemu, Guard Crush Games, Supamonks
Rotwood $29.99 7,459 74% 224k $6.7M (exactly $6,710,862) Klei Entertainment
Lost Castle 2 $17.99 10,851 78% 326k $5.9M (exactly $5,856,285) Hunter Studio
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Splintered Fate $29.99 4,143 83% 124k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,457) Super Evil Megacorp
Pathogenic $9.99 4,145 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,256) Aberrant Labs
Greedland $12.99 2,919 83% 88k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534) VaMP He
Rogue Point $19.99 940 63% 28k $564k (exactly $563,718) Crowbar Collective
Eslabong · EA $14.99 1,077 95% 32k $484k (exactly $484,327) shirowita
Noobs Are Coming $7.99 1,580 82% 47k $379k (exactly $378,726) Overboy
Bang Bang Barrage $7.99 757 95% 23k $181k (exactly $181,453) Monkey Bread

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.