Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Puzzle game?

Local Co-Op + Puzzle

Of 147 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 182 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×770 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 182 games are announced against 89 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 182 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 147
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $9.9k → $1.1k → $3.6k → $1.5k → $8.2k → $479 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 147
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,444)
Top 5% $366k (exactly $365,606)
Developers, 2 yr 147
Released games 540
Announced 182
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 26,741 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $9.4k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 65 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 182 games are announced against 89 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Human Fall Flat older $19.99 174,835 94% 5.2M $105M (exactly $104,848,549) No Brakes Games
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga older $49.99 38,294 90% 1.1M $57M (exactly $57,429,512) TT Games
BattleBlock Theater® older $14.99 55,793 97% 1.7M $25M (exactly $25,090,112) The Behemoth
REANIMAL $39.99 13,809 78% 414k $17M (exactly $16,566,657) Tarsier Studios
The Escapists 2 older $19.99 26,452 90% 794k $16M (exactly $15,863,264) Team17, Mouldy Toof Studios
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons older $14.99 33,765 94% 1.0M $15M (exactly $15,184,120) Starbreeze Studios AB
Untitled Goose Game older $19.99 22,797 95% 684k $14M (exactly $13,671,361) House House
LEGO® Marvel™ Super Heroes older $19.99 22,663 95% 680k $14M (exactly $13,591,001) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® Star Wars™ - The Complete Saga older $19.99 20,768 96% 623k $12M (exactly $12,454,570) Traveller's Tales
POPUCOM $19.99 3,432 87% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170) Hypergryph
LEGO® Harry Potter™ Collection $39.99 1,464 82% 44k $1.8M (exactly $1,756,361) TT Games, Double Eleven
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
World of Goo 2 $29.99 801 87% 24k $721k (exactly $720,660) 2D BOY, Tomorrow Corporation
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.