Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Precision Platformer?

Local Co-Op + Precision Platformer

Of 56 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×499 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 57 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 57 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 56
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $5.1k → $9.2k → $2.4k → $539 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 56
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $9.2k (exactly $9,170)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,125)
Developers, 2 yr 56
Released games 144
Announced 57
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,139 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $750, 1 in 4 over $9.1k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
Bread & Fred older $14.99 4,217 79% 127k $1.9M (exactly $1,896,385) SandCastles Studio
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Bloody Trapland older $4.99 2,777 83% 83k $416k (exactly $415,717) 2Play
Toodee and Topdee older $19.99 669 93% 20k $401k (exactly $401,199) dietzribi
Garbanzo Quest older $19.99 652 98% 20k $391k (exactly $391,004) zagawee
Dustforce DX older $9.99 1,214 93% 36k $364k (exactly $363,836) Hitbox Team
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
Brave Escape $19.99 145 97% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Hit Start Studios
Stuck Together $11.99 161 88% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Hugecalf Studios
An Eggstremely Hard Game $4.99 196 84% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,341) BBear Studio
Let's Cook Together 2 $23.99 37 75% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,629) Yellow Dot
Turnip Mountain $10.49 78 97% 2.3k $25k (exactly $24,547) Luke Sanderson
Warm Monkey $9.00 47 89% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,690) Evprod
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.