Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Pirates

Only 6 developers shipped a Pirate Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Chaos Faction Legacy Collection, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,081)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,030)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 27
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 33,189 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 older $39.99 17,281 91% 518k $21M (exactly $20,732,016) Koei Tecmo
One Piece Pirate Warriors 3 older $51.98 8,458 79% 254k $13M (exactly $13,189,405) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
LEGO® Pirates of the Caribbean: The Video Game older $19.99 3,564 90% 107k $2.1M (exactly $2,137,331) Traveller's Tales
Cat Quest III older $19.99 3,108 94% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,863,868) The Gentlebros
Trash Sailors: Co-Op Trash Raft Simulator older $19.99 187 67% 5.6k $112k (exactly $112,144) fluckyMachine
Paper Pirates older $12.99 115 91% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Iteration Games
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
Curse of the Sea Rats older $9.99 104 56% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Petoons Studio
Skyhook older $7.99 109 81% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Megastorm Games
Golden Force older $14.99 29 58% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Storybird Studio
Buccaneers Shipshape $12.99 31 87% 930 $12k (exactly $12,081) Merso Entertainment
Blackbeard's Treasure $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) SAT-BOX
Hentai Senpai: Pirates! 2 $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Kink Master Studios
Cloudsea $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Yeti Ate My Breakfast
Skull Port $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GD Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.