Do I ship it?

Games › Local Co-Op › Local Co-Op + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Ninja

Only 10 developers shipped a Ninja Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutants Unleashed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.2k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 11 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $137k → $180 → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $137k (exactly $136,766)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 38
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 328 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.3k, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 2016 · $43M Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge 2022 · $9.7M NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS 2023 · $7.0M NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution 2014 · $6.5M NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD 2013 · $6.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 older $19.99 72,409 90% 2.2M $43M (exactly $43,423,677) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge older $24.99 12,961 94% 389k $9.7M (exactly $9,716,862) Tribute Games Inc.
NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS older $59.99 3,881 62% 116k $7.0M (exactly $6,984,636) CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd.
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution older $29.99 7,228 84% 217k $6.5M (exactly $6,503,032) CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd.
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD older $19.99 10,749 89% 322k $6.4M (exactly $6,446,175) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Overgrowth older $19.99 6,202 86% 186k $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) Wolfire Games
SAMURAI WARRIORS 5 older $59.99 1,313 81% 39k $2.4M (exactly $2,363,006) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
The LEGO® NINJAGO® Movie Video Game older $19.99 1,916 86% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,149,025) Traveller's Tales, TT Games
9 Monkeys of Shaolin older $19.99 726 84% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Sobaka Studio
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutants Unleashed $39.99 114 50% 3.4k $137k (exactly $136,766) AHEARTFULOFGAMES
G.I. Joe: Wrath of Cobra $24.99 121 56% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) indie.io
Cursed Blood · EA $14.99 37 75% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) David Marquardt Studios
Maki: Paw of Fury $11.99 16 75% 480 $5.8k (exactly $5,755) Bacord
TENGAI $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Zerodiv
Gangs Of Asia · EA $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Moonpunch
Samurai Ace $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Zerodiv
Justice Ninja Casey $5.99 7 85% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Sunsoft
Feudal Bros - Tonosama #1 $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Sunsoft
Out of Sight $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Mainframe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.