Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Mythology

Only 6 developers shipped a Mythological Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Twin Shot Deluxe, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $74k against a market of $630. 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 118.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Median $74k (exactly $74,363)
Top 25% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Top 5% $350k (exactly $349,750)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 10,948 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $74k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 29 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WARRIORS OROCHI 4 older $59.99 4,424 85% 133k $8.0M (exactly $7,961,873) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Vikings - Wolves of Midgard older $29.99 2,808 58% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,526,358) Games Farm
Unruly Heroes older $19.99 763 74% 23k $458k (exactly $457,571) Magic Design Studios
Ghostlore older $19.99 703 81% 21k $422k (exactly $421,589) Andrew Teo, Adam Teo
Tunche older $19.99 618 73% 19k $371k (exactly $370,615) LEAP Game Studios
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Onsen Master older $14.99 18 55% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Waking Oni Games
Shield Impact older $1.99 47 78% 1.4k $2.8k (exactly $2,806) Magitech Games
Arm of Satan: Chapter 1 $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Ludophoria
Gorgon's quest $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Swansong games
Frogstool $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) janlovesjerky

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.