Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Multiple Endings game?

Local Co-Op + Multiple Endings

Of 28 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×1305 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $4.0k → $479 → $16k → $1.1k (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,912)
Top 5% $620k (exactly $619,864)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 81
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 5,862 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me older $39.99 3,778 56% 113k $4.5M (exactly $4,532,467) Supermassive Games
Haven older $24.99 5,294 88% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,968,912) The Game Bakers
The Adventures of Elliot: The Millennium Tales $59.99 1,687 78% 51k $3.0M (exactly $3,036,094) Square Enix, Claytechworks
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake older $24.99 2,703 68% 81k $2.0M (exactly $2,026,439) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
Moon Hunters older $14.99 3,919 79% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,762,374) Kitfox Games
Fight'N Rage older $19.99 2,557 92% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) sebagamesdev
Infernax older $19.99 2,128 93% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,276,162) Berzerk Studio
Ghosts 'n Goblins Resurrection older $29.99 1,306 74% 39k $1.2M (exactly $1,175,008) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
The LEGO Movie 2 Videogame older $29.99 1,106 62% 33k $995k (exactly $995,068) TT Games, Feral interactive (Mac)
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD 2: Remake $24.99 607 44% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
iDigging $2.99 729 69% 22k $65k (exactly $65,391) TWEN
Sword of the Necromancer: Resurrection $24.99 38 86% 1.1k $28k (exactly $28,489) Grimorio of Games
Concerto on White: Cajon Story $8.99 59 94% 1.8k $16k (exactly $15,912) C11 Games
Capy Castaway $19.99 24 70% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Kitten Cup Studio
WolfFang SkullFang Saturn Tribute Boosted $19.99 12 66% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) CITY CONNECTION
Deepest Trench $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Favor Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.