Do I ship it?

Games › Local Co-Op › Local Co-Op + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Military

Only 18 developers shipped a Military Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Point, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×898 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $300 → $123k → $2.7k → $6.7k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $35,986)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $563,718)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 61
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Local Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 1,421 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $840, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 6 2024 · $11M Axis & Allies 1942 Online 2021 · $2.9M HARDCORE MECHA 2019 · $1.4M Sky Rogue 2017 · $635k Rogue Point 2026 · $564k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 6 older $59.99 6,225 69% 187k $11M (exactly $11,203,132) SANDLOT
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
HARDCORE MECHA older $19.99 2,331 83% 70k $1.4M (exactly $1,397,901) RocketPunch Games
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
Rogue Point $19.99 940 63% 28k $564k (exactly $563,718) Crowbar Collective
Tour de France 2025 $39.99 182 77% 5.5k $218k (exactly $218,345) Cyanide Studio
Thunder Wolves older $9.99 446 84% 13k $134k (exactly $133,666) Most Wanted Entertainment
USC: Counterforce older $19.99 205 62% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Angry Cat Studios, Creatio 49
Akai Katana Shin older $29.99 91 96% 2.7k $82k (exactly $81,873) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
Warplan Pacific older $39.99 59 83% 1.8k $71k (exactly $70,782) Kraken Studios
UNDER DEFEAT $19.99 81 95% 2.4k $49k (exactly $48,576) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
Operation Night Strikers $24.99 48 77% 1.4k $36k (exactly $35,986) M2 Co., Ltd.
Threads of War $4.99 45 97% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KoS
Rising Sun - Iron Aces $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Moebius One Games
taCam · EA $5.99 15 60% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) DIG Games
War and Politics · EA $3.99 7 42% 210 $838 (exactly $838) JIYUTORISEI
Sky Combat: WWII Warplane Races · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.