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Should I ship a Magic Local Co-Op game?
Local Co-Op + Magic
Of 39 developers who shipped a Magic Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×653 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 86 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,215) |
| Top 5% | $310k (exactly $310,396) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 39 |
| Released games | 188 |
| Announced | 86 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Local Co-Op
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Local Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,709 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootStrong odds
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Action RPGFair
- + ModernFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Board GameFair
- + Dungeon CrawlerFair
- + MedievalFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
Comparable games
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince 2019 · $11M 
Trine 2: Complete Story 2013 · $9.2M 
Heroes® of Might & Magic® III - HD Edition 2015 · $9.1M 
Wizard of Legend 2018 · $8.3M 
Might & Magic® Heroes® VII 2015 · $6.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince | older | $29.99 | 11,712 88% | 351k | $11M (exactly $10,537,286) | Frozenbyte |
| | Trine 2: Complete Story | older | $19.99 | 15,273 95% | 458k | $9.2M (exactly $9,159,218) | Frozenbyte |
| | Heroes® of Might & Magic® III - HD Edition | older | $14.99 | 20,127 79% | 604k | $9.1M (exactly $9,051,112) | Dotemu |
| | Wizard of Legend | older | $15.99 | 17,322 91% | 520k | $8.3M (exactly $8,309,363) | Contingent99 |
| | Might & Magic® Heroes® VII | older | $29.99 | 6,836 54% | 205k | $6.2M (exactly $6,150,349) | Limbic Entertainment |
 | Trine Enchanted Edition | older | $14.99 | 12,843 95% | 385k | $5.8M (exactly $5,775,497) | Frozenbyte |
 | Magicka | older | $9.99 | 19,174 84% | 575k | $5.7M (exactly $5,746,448) | Arrowhead Game Studios |
 | Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power | older | $21.99 | 7,301 63% | 219k | $4.8M (exactly $4,816,470) | Frozenbyte |
 | Rabbit and Steel | older | $14.99 | 10,159 96% | 305k | $4.6M (exactly $4,568,502) | mino_dev |
 | Magicka 2 | older | $14.99 | 9,486 82% | 285k | $4.3M (exactly $4,265,854) | Pieces Interactive |
 | LEGO® Harry Potter™ Collection | $39.99 | 1,464 82% | 44k | $1.8M (exactly $1,756,361) | TT Games, Double Eleven | |
 | Nikoderiko: The Magical World — Director’s Cut | $29.99 | 345 82% | 10k | $310k (exactly $310,396) | VEA Games | |
 | Abandoned Archive | $5.99 | 749 93% | 22k | $135k (exactly $134,595) | Vedal | |
 | The Awakener: Battle Tendency | $14.98 | 233 74% | 7.0k | $105k (exactly $104,710) | TANER GAMES | |
 | Shrine's Legacy | $19.99 | 155 82% | 4.7k | $93k (exactly $92,954) | Positive Concept Games | |
 | Final Knight | · EA | $13.99 | 180 77% | 5.4k | $76k (exactly $75,546) | 2oclocksoft |
 | Royal Revolt Survivors | $9.99 | 205 77% | 6.2k | $61k (exactly $61,438) | Team Warriors | |
 | Heroes Of Might And Magic III | $9.99 | 166 50% | 5.0k | $50k (exactly $49,750) | Ubisoft, New World Computing | |
 | I'm No Demonlord | $8.99 | 163 84% | 4.9k | $44k (exactly $43,961) | NiaoWu Studio | |
 | King's Blade | $8.99 | 49 81% | 1.5k | $13k (exactly $13,215) | Alexey Suslin |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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