Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Logic game?

Local Co-Op + Logic

Of 45 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×55 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 41 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.7k → $5.1k → $1.3k → $1.1k → $838 → $1.3k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $3,953)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $26,258)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 121
Announced 41
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Co-op, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, Atmospheric, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,097 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.9k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Harmony's Odyssey older $14.99 308 92% 9.2k $139k (exactly $138,508) MythicOwl
How 2 Escape: Lost Submarine $12.99 161 83% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Breakfirst Games
Cats Love Boxes older $3.99 432 97% 13k $52k (exactly $51,710) Devcats
Ready, Steady, Ship! older $14.99 103 66% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Jollybits Games
Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das Spiel older $19.99 58 70% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Lost the Game Studios
Bytebond $11.99 73 89% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) DVD Unicorns
Them Bombs older $10.99 69 91% 2.1k $23k (exactly $22,749) Yellow Dot
Schlag den Star - Das Spiel older $9.99 74 40% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Lost the Game Studios
Lost Twins 2 $14.99 46 86% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Playdew
Limbs $4.99 62 70% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Moritz Göldi, Dominik Würsch
Pushmania $19.99 13 100% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Kind of Games
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Mayday Protocol $7.99 21 71% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Wazang Games
Double Trip $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) MaxyLAND
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.