Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Incremental game?

Local Co-Op + Incremental

Only 8 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Steinstern: Spacewar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 4 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $599 → $270 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 25
Announced 4
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Incremental
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 770 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $2.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 4 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Lord of the Click 2 older $10.99 32 71% 960 $11k (exactly $10,550) HugePixel
Valley of No Roads older $7.99 12 33% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Lunar Activities
Spinshot Party older $4.99 15 86% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) MattoOriginal Games - Matthias Otto
Steinstern: Spacewar $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Chris Baum
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
T1WRE3: NONAME $2.99 20 65% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) NoName
Munchie Match older $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Bouchard Industries
Mortadelo y Filemón: La Sexta Secta older $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Alcachofa Soft
Mortadelo y Filemón: Mamelucos a la Romana older $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Alcachofa Soft
SnowFlow · EA $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) TheStyleMachine
图说八道 $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) StarryMatrix
Age of the Fallen $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Duorum Studio
OnlyGame $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 小桨哥
Quizrealms: From Stone to Steam $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) White City Crew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.