Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Grid-Based Movement game?

Local Co-Op + Grid-Based Movement

Only 10 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mythmatch, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×157 the market median. Revenue is up 230% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 230% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $358 → $1.7k → $748 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,539)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $74,363)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 39
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 230% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 89% positive over 271 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition older $6.99 5,557 80% 167k $1.2M (exactly $1,165,303) Nomad Games
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Cats Love Boxes older $3.99 432 97% 13k $52k (exactly $51,710) Devcats
Beacon Patrol $11.99 70 97% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack
Parcel older $4.99 140 84% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,958) Polar Bunny Ltd
Conclave Virtual Tabletop older $19.99 31 74% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Aggressive Combustion
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Double Trip $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) MaxyLAND
Cube Raiders older $12.99 11 72% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Void Games
Bloodwych older $6.99 20 50% 600 $4.2k (exactly $4,194) Image Works
Tetro Runner $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Rollmop Games Studio
Gemima $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) FunLittleGames LTD
Snake Party Extreme $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) yyrGames
Survive the Grid $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dean Jackson
Humans vs Aliens BattleWorlds $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BNMBY
DICEPTION $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexander Thurn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.