Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Dystopian

Only 6 developers shipped a Dystopian Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VHOLUME, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×8.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $44k against a market of $480. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 91.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 885% on the market, 25 announced, ×8.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $11k (exactly $10,795)
Median $44k (exactly $43,621)
Top 25% $227k (exactly $226,687)
Top 5% $718k (exactly $718,080)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 36
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 885% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 39,707 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $11k, median $44k, 1 in 4 over $220k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $11k. 25 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ascent older $29.99 19,235 74% 577k $17M (exactly $17,305,730) Neon Giant
Pikuniku older $12.99 10,082 96% 302k $3.9M (exactly $3,928,955) Arnaud De Bock, Rémi Forcadell, Alan Zu… (Arnaud De Bock, Rémi Forcadell, Alan Zucconi, Calum Bowen, Sectordub)
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
USAC: Code Breach older $14.99 1,067 91% 32k $480k (exactly $479,830) Questions Factory
Neon Chrome older $14.99 545 93% 16k $245k (exactly $245,086) 10tons Ltd
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
Aeon's End older $14.99 438 82% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Handelabra Games Inc.
Tower 57 older $11.99 538 65% 16k $194k (exactly $193,519) Pixwerk
HordeZ older $16.99 373 83% 11k $190k (exactly $190,118) Zenz VR
Flying Tank $14.99 97 86% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) Hexage
Anima Flux $19.99 69 78% 2.1k $41k (exactly $41,379) Avantaj Prim
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games
Pyrosynchist $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Orb Weaver Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.