Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Demons

Only 12 developers shipped a Demon Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Twin Shot Deluxe, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×8.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×736 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 25 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $3.3k → $1.7k → $33k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,892)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $32,667)
Top 5% $350k (exactly $349,750)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 47
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Warhammer: Chaosbane 2019 · $2.9M Painkiller Hell & Damnation 2012 · $1.8M Ghosts 'n Goblins Resurrection 2021 · $1.2M Twin Shot Deluxe 2026 · $350k I'm on Observation Duty 6 2023 · $235k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer: Chaosbane older $29.99 3,274 60% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,945,618) Eko Software
Painkiller Hell & Damnation older $19.99 2,935 78% 88k $1.8M (exactly $1,760,119) The Farm 51
Ghosts 'n Goblins Resurrection older $29.99 1,306 74% 39k $1.2M (exactly $1,175,008) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
I'm on Observation Duty 6 older $11.99 652 94% 20k $235k (exactly $234,524) Notovia, Dreamloop Games
Kingdom of Night $19.99 326 86% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Friends of Safety
Pampas & Selene: The Maze of Demons older $9.99 366 90% 11k $110k (exactly $109,690) @unepic_fran
Tormentor❌Punisher older $7.99 304 92% 9.1k $73k (exactly $72,869) E-Studio
Fallen Angel older $14.99 121 67% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Matrioshka Games
Insanity's Blade older $5.99 252 73% 7.6k $45k (exactly $45,284) Causal Bit Games Inc.
Saint Slayer: Spear of Sacrilege $9.99 109 94% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Lillymo Games
Ritual Party · EA $11.99 28 89% 840 $10k (exactly $10,072) Hologram Monster
Magical Hellhound Lust · EA $19.99 13 53% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mildaponno
Zombies Attack $4.99 26 100% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Liao Kai, LKK GAME
Try 2 Sleep $2.99 19 100% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Exotical Corp.
Arm of Satan: Chapter 1 $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Ludophoria
Gradanix $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) RevoltLive
Hell Loop $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Tuncay Ayanoglu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.