Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Deckbuilding?

Local Co-Op + Deckbuilding

Only 14 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Deckbuilding in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, I'm No Demonlord, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×7.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $43k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 180% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $31k → $2.2k → $3.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,358)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $43,961)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Deckbuilding
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 376 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
One Step From Eden older $19.99 6,039 94% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,621,588) Thomas Moon Kang
HELLCARD older $24.99 3,368 86% 101k $2.5M (exactly $2,524,990) Thing Trunk
Spirit Island older $24.99 1,545 91% 46k $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) Handelabra Games Inc.
Spellmasons older $19.99 1,122 91% 34k $673k (exactly $672,863) Octavia Blue
Ticket to Ride® older $14.99 1,057 69% 32k $475k (exactly $475,333) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Aeon's End older $14.99 438 82% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Handelabra Games Inc.
Charterstone: Digital Edition older $19.99 235 76% 7.1k $141k (exactly $140,930) Acram Digital
Card Hog older $5.99 464 93% 14k $83k (exactly $83,381) SnoutUp
Space Food Truck older $9.99 216 71% 6.5k $65k (exactly $64,735) One Man Left Studios
I'm No Demonlord $8.99 163 84% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,961) NiaoWu Studio
Spirit Mancer $19.99 51 72% 1.5k $31k (exactly $30,585) Sunny Syrup Studio
Keep the Heroes Out $19.99 35 60% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Brueh Games, YarnCat Games
Ragtag Heroes : CO-OP Deckbuilder · EA $14.99 37 62% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Ragtag Heroes Team
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Vinebound: Tangled Together $4.99 43 95% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Riftpoint Entertainment
Hard Edge - War Zone $15.99 7 71% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) SUNSOFT
Vulcard · EA $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Goblin Games Studio
Deckception $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Spritz Studios
Card Maker Simulator $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Níkolas Santos

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.