Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Cyberpunk

Only 16 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Neon Inferno, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×361 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $958 → $1.4k → $120 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Top 5% $227k (exactly $226,687)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 65
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Side Scroller, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 641 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ascent older $29.99 19,235 74% 577k $17M (exactly $17,305,730) Neon Giant
Haven older $24.99 5,294 88% 159k $4.0M (exactly $3,968,912) The Game Bakers
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Death Trash · EA older $19.99 3,460 91% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,074,962) Crafting Legends
Nex Machina older $19.99 1,467 89% 44k $880k (exactly $879,760) Housemarque
USAC: Code Breach older $14.99 1,067 91% 32k $480k (exactly $479,830) Questions Factory
Black Future '88 older $19.99 494 74% 15k $296k (exactly $296,252) SUPERSCARYSNAKES
Neon Chrome older $14.99 545 93% 16k $245k (exactly $245,086) 10tons Ltd
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
NeuroVoider older $13.99 492 77% 15k $206k (exactly $206,492) Flying Oak Games
Anima Flux $19.99 69 78% 2.1k $41k (exactly $41,379) Avantaj Prim
Alien Strike: Blasting the Intruders $9.99 57 85% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Combo Game Studio
Gunswitch · EA $7.99 25 64% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Wicked Tavern
Miracle Heroes: Temporal Bounty Hunter $1.99 79 92% 2.4k $4.7k (exactly $4,716) Cat Play Studio
Hard Edge - War Zone $15.99 7 71% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) SUNSOFT
Waifu Discovered 3: Cyberpunk Fantasy $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) One-Hand-Free Studios
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
Deflect $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) AlzKrak Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.