Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Local Co-Op game?

Local Co-Op + Crime

Only 6 developers shipped a Crime Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monaco 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1790% on the market, 13 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,539)
Top 5% $70k (exactly $70,153)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1790% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Local Co-Op
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 126,624 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $70k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Way Out older $29.99 78,174 87% 2.3M $70M (exactly $70,333,148) Hazelight Studios
Need for Speed™ Most Wanted older $19.99 25,197 77% 756k $15M (exactly $15,110,641) Criterion Games
The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me older $39.99 3,778 56% 113k $4.5M (exactly $4,532,467) Supermassive Games
LEGO® City Undercover older $19.99 7,414 91% 222k $4.4M (exactly $4,446,176) Traveller's Tales
Kane & Lynch 2: Dog Days older $9.99 6,813 68% 204k $2.0M (exactly $2,041,856) IO Interactive
Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine older $14.99 3,756 92% 113k $1.7M (exactly $1,689,073) Pocketwatch Games
Fast and Low older $19.99 736 82% 22k $441k (exactly $441,379) Urban Giraffe Games Inc.
Hot Brass older $14.99 488 81% 15k $219k (exactly $219,454) Walk with Kings
Monaco 2 $14.99 156 63% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Pocketwatch Games
Raging Justice older $14.99 112 78% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) MakinGames Ltd
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Heist Haven · EA $12.99 4 0% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Somehow Games
Clippy Commando $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Daniel Harnden
Streets of Fear $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Willoughby Games
Escape Team $15.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fabian Hemmert

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.