Do I ship it?

GamesLocal Co-OpLocal Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Local Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 9 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Only Out, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $480. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 14 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $6.7k → $91k → $1.5k
Outcomes for Local Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 5% $6.0k (exactly $5,988)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 37
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Co-Op, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,492 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $5.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair11 devs · median $14k · 12 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair16 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  4. + TriviaFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Action RPGFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  6. + ModernFair11 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyFair40 devs · median $2.7k · 47 announced
  8. + Board GameFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  9. + Dungeon CrawlerFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  10. + MedievalFair46 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair22 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced

All 151 pairs on the Local Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Big Farm Story older $19.99 1,172 78% 35k $703k (exactly $702,848) Goodgame Studios
Mayhem Brawler older $19.99 836 89% 25k $501k (exactly $501,349) Hero Concept
The Yawhg older $9.99 1,131 84% 34k $339k (exactly $338,961) Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll
The Last Oricru - Final Cut older $19.99 557 67% 17k $334k (exactly $334,033) GoldKnights
Quest Master · EA older $19.99 354 98% 11k $212k (exactly $212,294) Apogee Entertainment, Julian Creutz, Sk… (Apogee Entertainment, Julian Creutz, Skydevilpalm)
Baladins older $24.99 121 81% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Seed by Seed
Doomsday Paradise older $14.99 185 89% 5.6k $83k (exactly $83,194) Lemonade Flashbang
Super Retro Fighter · EA older $11.99 57 73% 1.7k $21k (exactly $20,503) Syndrome interactive, Cat God Studio
Heartwood Heroes older $14.99 32 96% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Ludosity
Fhtagn! - Tales of the Creeping Madness older $9.99 47 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Design Imps
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Rascal's Escape $29.99 6 66% 180 $5.4k (exactly $5,398) the Good Evil GmbH
PicoMix by NuSan $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) NuSan, Potico Games
DEEPLY · EA $2.99 14 35% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) TWEN
Fun Road $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) RMIT
Late Night Fears $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) WolfAlert
Quizrealms: From Stone to Steam $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) White City Crew
Digital Creative Framework $15.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Oranje 44 Studio
EscapeTheBrainrots · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CryDream

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.