Do I ship it?

Games › Character Action Game › Character Action Game + JRPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a JRPG Character Action Game?

Character Action Game + JRPG

Only 2 developers shipped a JRPG Character Action Game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 10 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.4M against a market of $1.5k. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1570.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Action Game + JRPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Character Action Game + JRPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $159k (exactly $159,393)
Median $500k (exactly $500,233)
Top 25% $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208)
Top 5% $4.6M (exactly $4,562,240)
Developers, 4 yr 10
Released games 44
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $29.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Action Game
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Character Action Game, JRPG
Price point
$29.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 171,614 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $160k, median $500k, 1 in 4 over $2.3M, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $160k. 8 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Action Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Sci-fiPoor odds12 devs · median $305k · 30 announced
  2. + Action RPGPoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  3. + ShooterPoor odds14 devs · median $84k · 47 announced
  4. + Action-AdventurePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 43 announced
  6. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds27 devs · median $58k · 80 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upPoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  9. + AdventurePoor odds28 devs · median $29k · 100 announced
  10. + ActionPoor odds54 devs · median $20k · 188 announced
  11. + Action RoguelikePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  12. + RoguelikePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 16 announced

All 39 pairs on the Character Action Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

NieR:Automata™ 2017 · $138M NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... 2021 · $39M SCARLET NEXUS 2021 · $25M KINGDOM HEARTS -HD 1.5+2.5 ReMIX- 2024 · $16M KINGDOM HEARTS III + Re Mind (DLC) 2024 · $4.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NieR:Automata™ older $39.99 115,103 88% 3.5M $138M (exactly $138,089,069) Square Enix, PlatinumGames Inc.
NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139... older $59.99 21,493 88% 645k $39M (exactly $38,680,952) Square Enix, Toylogic Inc.
SCARLET NEXUS older $59.99 13,749 81% 412k $25M (exactly $24,744,075) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
KINGDOM HEARTS -HD 1.5+2.5 ReMIX- older $49.99 10,471 86% 314k $16M (exactly $15,703,359) Square Enix
KINGDOM HEARTS III + Re Mind (DLC) older $59.99 2,535 89% 76k $4.6M (exactly $4,562,240) Square Enix
Eternights older $29.99 3,046 85% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,740,486) Studio Sai
Lost Soul Aside™ $59.99 1,307 59% 39k $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208) Ultizero Games
Cuisineer older $24.99 1,820 76% 55k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,454) BattleBrew Productions
KINGDOM HEARTS HD 2.8 Final Chapter Prologue older $59.99 684 83% 21k $1.2M (exactly $1,230,995) Square Enix
Garden Story older $19.99 1,406 89% 42k $843k (exactly $843,178) Picogram
Valkyrie of Phantasm $29.99 556 86% 17k $500k (exactly $500,233) AREAZERO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.