Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Top-Down Shooter

Of 25 developers who shipped a Top-Down Shooter Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $30 → $416 → $60 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $598 (exactly $598)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,491)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 34
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter, Top-Down Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Bullet Hell, Action, Arcade
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 101 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Frontline Crisis older $5.99 348 87% 10k $63k (exactly $62,536) BCQT
PIZZA WESTERN 🍕 $29.99 10 90% 300 $9.0k (exactly $8,997) Lola Fisher
Reincarnation Galgame Become Heroine! $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Crazy Slime
Viscera $19.99 5 40% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Animation Logic
Bullet Runner $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Kami Games
X-teroids $0.99 23 100% 690 $683 (exactly $683) liangxiegame
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
GunBang $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 4Tins Studios
Opollo $0.99 14 85% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Planetary Gears
Void Breach $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) fp32.ai LLC
Sweet Slave $1.99 5 40% 150 $298 (exactly $298) King Kong

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.