Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Sci-fi

Of 115 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 150 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $320; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1322 the market median. Revenue is up 75% on the market; 150 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 75% on the market, 150 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 115
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $191k → $226k → $95k → $3.0k → $2.1k → $2.7k → $1.8k (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 115
Bottom 30% $315 (exactly $315)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,200)
Top 5% $830k (exactly $830,423)
Developers, 2 yr 115
Released games 222
Announced 150
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 45,725 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $320, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $320. 8 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 150 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DOOM Eternal older $29.99 187,483 91% 5.6M $169M (exactly $168,678,455) id Software
DOOM older $19.99 155,340 95% 4.7M $93M (exactly $93,157,398) id Software
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
Trepang2 older $39.99 15,774 93% 473k $19M (exactly $18,924,068) Trepang Studios
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun older $21.99 15,741 90% 472k $10M (exactly $10,384,338) Auroch Digital
Bulletstorm: Full Clip Edition older $39.99 7,849 89% 235k $9.4M (exactly $9,416,445) People Can Fly
DOOM + DOOM II older $9.99 25,468 96% 764k $7.6M (exactly $7,632,760) id Software, Nightdive Studios
Ion Fury older $24.99 5,649 93% 169k $4.2M (exactly $4,235,055) Voidpoint, LLC
Quake older $9.99 13,962 96% 419k $4.2M (exactly $4,184,411) id Software, Nightdive Studios, Machine… (id Software, Nightdive Studios, MachineGames)
Prodeus older $24.99 5,505 92% 165k $4.1M (exactly $4,127,098) Bounding Box Software Inc.
Beyond Citadel $14.99 4,417 96% 133k $2.0M (exactly $1,986,325) doekuramori
METAL EDEN $19.99 1,920 84% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,151,424) Reikon Games
Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! $24.99 1,352 92% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,013,594) Auroch Digital
Mohrta $19.99 1,482 91% 44k $889k (exactly $888,755) Scumhead, Osiol
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Battle Shapers $24.99 984 80% 30k $738k (exactly $737,705) Metric Empire
Moros Protocol $24.99 731 81% 22k $548k (exactly $548,031) Pixel Reign
SPRAWL zero $24.99 710 94% 21k $532k (exactly $532,287) MAETH
INCISION $14.99 997 85% 30k $448k (exactly $448,351) SmoothBrainDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.