Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Post-apocalyptic

Of 40 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1846 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 55 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $3.3k → $2.1k → $450 (still earning) → $5.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,827)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 53
Announced 55
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 14,487 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DOOM Eternal older $29.99 187,483 91% 5.6M $169M (exactly $168,678,455) id Software
FUMES · EA $14.99 2,816 95% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) FUMES team
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT $4.99 7,743 97% 232k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) Joeveno
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Slayers X: Terminal Aftermath: Vengance of the Slayer older $16.99 1,287 97% 39k $656k (exactly $655,984) Big Z Studios Inc.
CRUEL $9.99 1,814 95% 54k $544k (exactly $543,656) James Dornan
INCISION $14.99 997 85% 30k $448k (exactly $448,351) SmoothBrainDev
The Last Salvage Squad $9.99 510 98% 15k $153k (exactly $152,847) Sunfish Kumano
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
Voltage High Society $19.99 144 92% 4.3k $86k (exactly $86,357) Platonic Partnership
Absolute Insanity $15.99 57 94% 1.7k $27k (exactly $27,343) Chris Danelon
DOGENSTEIN $4.99 146 73% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,856) Marc Leclerc
SATAN $2.99 143 81% 4.3k $13k (exactly $12,827) Gamefruit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.