Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Physics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Physics

Of 36 developers who shipped a Physics Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×316 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 46 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Physics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $5.5k → $150 → $539 → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Physics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,633)
Top 5% $199k (exactly $198,747)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 53
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter, Physics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,669 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CULTIC older $9.99 8,027 97% 241k $2.4M (exactly $2,405,692) Jasozz Games
TRIBES 3: Rivals · EA older $19.99 1,324 61% 40k $794k (exactly $794,003) Prophecy Games
SPRAWL zero $24.99 710 94% 21k $532k (exactly $532,287) MAETH
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
illWill older $19.99 279 91% 8.4k $167k (exactly $167,316) Slava Bushuev
GLUM · EA $12.49 78 64% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,227) CinderCat Games
Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä $4.99 129 94% 3.9k $19k (exactly $19,311) Sophisticated keppana enjoyers
TAGLINE older $9.99 52 92% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) NOTH
Fast Royal $14.99 30 100% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) Edos Interactive
CPU Invaders - 3i Atlas $4.99 77 98% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,527) Microblast Games
PIZZA WESTERN 🍕 $29.99 10 90% 300 $9.0k (exactly $8,997) Lola Fisher
WTF AM I PLAYING?! $4.49 66 92% 2.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,890) Meka Games
Ash & Adam's GOBSMACKED $4.99 37 86% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Ash & Adam's Games
Same Room Same Day $3.99 22 40% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) Bugi Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.