Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Perma Death

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Perma Death Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Perma Death

Only 17 developers shipped a Perma Death Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Battle Shapers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×1175 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 32 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Perma Death
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $283k → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Perma Death: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $136k (exactly $136,005)
Top 5% $738k (exactly $737,705)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 28
Announced 32
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Perma Death
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter, Perma Death; all of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,845 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Immortal Redneck older $19.95 2,211 90% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,284) Crema
Ziggurat 2 older $24.99 1,292 90% 39k $969k (exactly $968,612) Milkstone Studios
MOTHERGUNSHIP older $24.99 1,088 77% 33k $816k (exactly $815,674) Terrible Posture Games, Grip Digital
Battle Shapers $24.99 984 80% 30k $738k (exactly $737,705) Metric Empire
CRUEL $9.99 1,814 95% 54k $544k (exactly $543,656) James Dornan
ODDCORE · EA $12.99 1,080 96% 32k $421k (exactly $420,876) ODDCORP
Heavy Bullets older $9.99 1,258 82% 38k $377k (exactly $377,023) Terri Vellmann, Doseone
Soulslinger: Envoy of Death $19.99 472 63% 14k $283k (exactly $283,058) Elder Games
Tower of Guns older $14.99 529 85% 16k $238k (exactly $237,891) Terrible Posture Games
Super 3-D Noah's Ark older $9.99 518 92% 16k $155k (exactly $155,245) Wisdom Tree, Inc.
Voidborn $12.99 349 81% 10k $136k (exactly $136,005) Xekvera
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
Seth $12.99 36 77% 1.1k $14k (exactly $14,029) Chaotic Games
Cosmic Call $9.99 30 96% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) CosmicDev
DOOM SPIRAL $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Forbidden Saucery
Night of the Dead Simulator $7.99 12 50% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Unknown People Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.