Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Lovecraftian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Lovecraftian Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Lovecraftian

Only 12 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forgive Me Father 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1791 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Lovecraftian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Lovecraftian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $2.0k (exactly $2,035)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 25% $70k (exactly $70,153)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Lovecraftian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,430 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $70k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DUSK older $19.99 22,073 97% 662k $13M (exactly $13,237,178) David Szymanski
CULTIC older $9.99 8,027 97% 241k $2.4M (exactly $2,405,692) Jasozz Games
Forgive Me Father older $19.99 3,705 84% 111k $2.2M (exactly $2,221,888) Byte Barrel
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
Viscerafest $19.99 540 87% 16k $324k (exactly $323,838) Acid Man Games, Fire Plant Games
KINGDOM of the DEAD older $14.99 329 78% 9.9k $148k (exactly $147,951) DIRIGO GAMES
HYPERVIOLENT $14.99 156 67% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) nfoPRINCE, Terminist Arcade
Monument older $1.99 825 74% 25k $49k (exactly $49,252) Andrei Ivashentsev
Paradox Vector older $9.99 59 83% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Schmidt Workshops
REVEREND older $2.99 193 88% 5.8k $17k (exactly $17,312) Twisted Sickle
Cosmic Call $9.99 30 96% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) CosmicDev
Quartermain and the Cult of Cthulhu $2.99 92 95% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,252) ThePrinceOfMars
It Consumes $9.99 27 100% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Sublexical
Toyful Wonderworld $4.99 40 92% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Cody Blate
CrimSaw $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) SkyBrave
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford
Devil's Desk $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Dandy Dog

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.