Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Futuristic

Of 45 developers who shipped a Futuristic Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×316 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 65 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $240k → $54k → $794k → $748 → $2.0k → $4.6k → $539 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,795)
Top 5% $199k (exactly $198,747)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 81
Announced 65
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry FPS, Action, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.00 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Retro, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.00 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 3,472 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Selaco · EA older $24.99 4,774 93% 143k $3.6M (exactly $3,579,068) Altered Orbit Studios
Hard Reset Extended Edition older $14.99 3,764 81% 113k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,671) Flying Wild Hog
ROBOBEAT older $19.99 1,708 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,024,288) Simon Fredholm
Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! $24.99 1,352 92% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,013,594) Auroch Digital
SPRAWL older $14.99 1,961 87% 59k $882k (exactly $881,862) MAETH
TRIBES 3: Rivals · EA older $19.99 1,324 61% 40k $794k (exactly $794,003) Prophecy Games
Slayers X: Terminal Aftermath: Vengance of the Slayer older $16.99 1,287 97% 39k $656k (exactly $655,984) Big Z Studios Inc.
Supplice · EA older $14.99 533 87% 16k $240k (exactly $239,690) Mekworx
REAVER · EA older $13.99 539 87% 16k $226k (exactly $226,218) crunkz, Black Boat Games
BRUTAL JOHN 2 · EA $12.99 546 94% 16k $213k (exactly $212,776) OldSchool Laws Team
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
The Last Salvage Squad $9.99 510 98% 15k $153k (exactly $152,847) Sunfish Kumano
Galactic Vault $19.99 155 90% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) MeepMeep Games
Extraneum $14.99 111 94% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) David Jalbert
Ctesiphon $9.99 89 93% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Stomy
Cyberscape $14.99 43 93% 1.3k $19k (exactly $19,337) AtomicTorch Studio
hate.net $4.99 120 95% 3.6k $18k (exactly $17,964) bonitāka
FLAW · EA $15.00 36 77% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,200) Plasmeo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.