Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Dystopian

Of 22 developers who shipped a Dystopian Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×5.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×79 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 45 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 45 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $445k → $8.5k → $2.1k → $12k → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,678)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,192)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $49,917)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 36
Announced 45
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry FPS, Action, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,284 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hard Reset Extended Edition older $14.99 3,764 81% 113k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,671) Flying Wild Hog
SPRAWL older $14.99 1,961 87% 59k $882k (exactly $881,862) MAETH
SPRAWL zero $24.99 710 94% 21k $532k (exactly $532,287) MAETH
SharpShooter3D older $6.99 2,122 95% 64k $445k (exactly $444,983) HeadHunters games
Extraneum $14.99 111 94% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) David Jalbert
Diluvian Ultra older $9.99 152 71% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,554) Cresthelm Studios
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
Cyberscape $14.99 43 93% 1.3k $19k (exactly $19,337) AtomicTorch Studio
hate.net $4.99 120 95% 3.6k $18k (exactly $17,964) bonitāka
Rebel Engine $19.99 27 81% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) Seven Leaf Clover
LUCKROT $4.99 104 91% 3.1k $16k (exactly $15,569) OptiCube
Abyss Veil · EA $6.99 56 98% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Zorrio
ALARIC $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dominik Grigoras
Death Delivery · EA $4.99 31 74% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) GogaGames.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.