Do I ship it?

GamesBoomer ShooterBoomer Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Boomer Shooter?

Boomer Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Of 46 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Boomer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×3163 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 68 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 68 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boomer Shooter + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $134k → $4.7k → $13k → $283k → $6.0k → $2.9k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boomer Shooter + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $89k (exactly $88,756)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $1,986,325)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 81
Announced 68
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Boomer Shooter; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 49,843 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $88k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 6 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boomer Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Co-opFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  2. + WarFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 22 announced
  3. + DemonsFair51 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  5. + Psychological HorrorFair24 devs · median $1.3k · 29 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair50 devs · median $659 · 47 announced
  7. + Bullet HellFair109 devs · median $599 · 77 announced
  8. + SpaceFair39 devs · median $539 · 43 announced
  9. + Survival HorrorFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + SurvivalLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds36 devs · median $12k · 52 announced

All 61 pairs on the Boomer Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
Mortal Sin $24.99 5,583 94% 167k $4.2M (exactly $4,185,575) Nikola Todorovic
AMID EVIL older $19.99 6,654 93% 200k $4.0M (exactly $3,990,404) Indefatigable
Forgive Me Father older $19.99 3,705 84% 111k $2.2M (exactly $2,221,888) Byte Barrel
Beyond Citadel $14.99 4,417 96% 133k $2.0M (exactly $1,986,325) doekuramori
Project Warlock older $12.00 4,691 87% 141k $1.7M (exactly $1,688,760) Buckshot Software
WRATH: Aeon of Ruin older $24.99 1,975 75% 59k $1.5M (exactly $1,480,658) KillPixel Games, Slipgate Ironworks
Mohrta $19.99 1,482 91% 44k $889k (exactly $888,755) Scumhead, Osiol
Heretic + Hexen $14.99 1,789 95% 54k $805k (exactly $804,513) id Software, Nightdive Studios
Hedon Bloodrite older $16.99 1,575 93% 47k $803k (exactly $802,777) Zan_HedonDev
Bloodshed $12.99 1,824 84% 55k $711k (exactly $710,813) com8com1 Software
Wizordum $19.99 880 91% 26k $528k (exactly $527,736) Emberheart Games
Soulslinger: Envoy of Death $19.99 472 63% 14k $283k (exactly $283,058) Elder Games
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
Voidborn $12.99 349 81% 10k $136k (exactly $136,005) Xekvera

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.