Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + War

Of 53 developers who shipped a War 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 35 developers shipped in the last year and 62 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 62 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $1.1k → $449 → $180 → $418 → $360 → $1.0k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $66,758)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 192
Announced 62
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
2D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 674 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $66k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pizza Tower older $19.99 66,350 98% 2.0M $40M (exactly $39,790,095) Tour De Pizza
METAL GEAR & METAL GEAR 2: Solid Snake older $19.99 775 83% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) KONAMI
Super Meat Boy Forever older $4.99 1,881 58% 56k $282k (exactly $281,586) Team Meat
Torn Away older $14.99 595 92% 18k $268k (exactly $267,572) perelesoq
Valiant Hearts: Coming Home older $14.99 529 62% 16k $238k (exactly $237,891) Ubisoft Da Nang, Ubisoft Montpellier
METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.1 BONUS CONTENT older $59.99 125 63% 3.8k $225k (exactly $224,962) KONAMI
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Double Dragon Revive $34.99 157 63% 4.7k $165k (exactly $164,803) YUKE’S
Rise & Shine older $9.99 453 73% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) Super Mega Team
Oriental Dynasty - Silk Road defense war older $5.99 616 75% 18k $111k (exactly $110,695) 星环游戏
No Retreat! The Russian Front $29.99 80 76% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) Cyril Jarnot, Avalon Digital
STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- $9.89 225 86% 6.8k $67k (exactly $66,758) Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロ… (Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロゲームの手応えとバランスを追求するデザイン工房-)
Eutolant Saga $15.99 114 92% 3.4k $55k (exactly $54,686) Oistar Games
FZ: Formation Z $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Granzella Inc.
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game
WolfFang SkullFang Saturn Tribute Boosted $19.99 12 66% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) CITY CONNECTION
Star Titans : War of the Galaxy $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Mediawork
The Orc Invasion $10.99 13 92% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) ATK Games
Dark Adelita $5.99 23 95% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Brain-dead Rabbit Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.