Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Underground

Of 52 developers who shipped an Underground 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $41k, ×86 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 87 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 87 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $599 → $1.1k → $748 → $2.2k → $1.5k → $60 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $41,083)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 187
Announced 87
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,423 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HAAK older $17.99 3,149 89% 94k $1.7M (exactly $1,699,515) Blingame
Shadow Labyrinth $29.99 277 54% 8.3k $249k (exactly $249,217) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
Ants Took My Eyeball older $12.99 248 93% 7.4k $97k (exactly $96,646) Bosmic Forge
The Siege and the Sandfox $14.99 180 64% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Cardboard Sword
PERFECT CELLS PROJECT older $9.99 226 79% 6.8k $68k (exactly $67,732) ShinshiMoustache
Miner: Dig Deep older $6.99 242 91% 7.3k $51k (exactly $50,747) Substance Games
RITE older $4.99 326 84% 9.8k $49k (exactly $48,802) Pond Games PTY LTD
DUNGEON RAZE $2.99 458 85% 14k $41k (exactly $41,083) KOTARO YOSHIDA
Cavern Adventurers $8.99 117 48% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,555) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Soulbind: Tales Of The Underworld $7.99 88 73% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Rubedo Games
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio
Dark Bone Prison $5.99 84 95% 2.5k $15k (exactly $15,095) Bunny Moon Shady
OREBLAZE $4.99 64 92% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Ludiminal Games
Bugscraper $9.99 28 96% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Yolwoocle, OLX, Verbaudet, Ninesliced
白猫骑士物语/ White Cat Knight $1.99 85 100% 2.6k $5.1k (exactly $5,074) Dumpling Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.