Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Supernatural

Of 56 developers who shipped a Supernatural 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×1182 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 95 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 95 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 56
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $1.8k → $629 → $2.9k → $3.3k → $479 → $479 (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 56
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,008)
Top 25% $7.3k (exactly $7,335)
Top 5% $561k (exactly $561,319)
Developers, 2 yr 56
Released games 144
Announced 95
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 7,387 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $7.3k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo older $19.99 6,123 95% 184k $3.7M (exactly $3,671,963) Square Enix
Creaks older $19.99 5,323 95% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,192,203) Amanita Design
Bye Sweet Carole $24.99 1,039 72% 31k $779k (exactly $778,938) Little Sewing Machine
They Bleed Pixels older $9.99 2,040 84% 61k $611k (exactly $611,388) Spooky Squid Games Inc.
The Dark Queen of Mortholme $4.99 4,075 83% 122k $610k (exactly $610,028) Mosu
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition older $24.99 786 71% 24k $589k (exactly $589,264) Plot Twist
Voidwrought $19.99 936 77% 28k $561k (exactly $561,319) Powersnake
The Darkest Tales older $19.99 697 69% 21k $418k (exactly $417,991) Trinity Team
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
花落冬陽 Snowdreams -lost in winter- older $17.99 152 95% 4.6k $82k (exactly $82,034) 觀象草圖 Astrolabe Draft
Graces: Posthumous Wish $7.99 187 93% 5.6k $45k (exactly $44,824) TomoToro
THE GOOD OLD DAYS $19.99 60 85% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) ヨコゴシステムズ
Succubus Contract I $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Stick4Luck
Rose and Locket $11.99 54 92% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Whistling Wizard
Ascending Inferno $10.99 55 98% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,134) Oppolyon Studios
Horny Haunts $4.99 118 56% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,665) Naelstrof, Raliv, BigCozyOrca, Eugene

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.