Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Nature

Of 201 developers who shipped a Nature 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 268 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 113 developers shipped in the last year and 268 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 268 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 201
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $419 → $599 → $179 → $359 → $269 → $359 → $449 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 201
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,992)
Developers, 2 yr 201
Released games 559
Announced 268
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Adventure, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 18,539 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 115 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 268 games are announced against 113 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neva $19.99 9,343 93% 280k $5.6M (exactly $5,602,997) Nomada Studio
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
Öoo $9.99 6,575 99% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,970,528) NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuy… (NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuyomi)
Hoa older $14.99 2,562 89% 77k $1.2M (exactly $1,152,131) Skrollcat Studio
Islets older $19.99 1,831 95% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,098,051) Kyle Thompson
Darwin's Paradox! $24.99 843 87% 25k $632k (exactly $631,997) ZDT Studio
Tribal Hunter older $14.99 1,398 97% 42k $629k (exactly $628,681) Melonsoda Soft
Luna's Fishing Garden older $7.99 1,689 93% 51k $405k (exactly $404,853) Coldwild Games, illufinch
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
A Highland Song older $17.99 553 87% 17k $298k (exactly $298,454) inkle Ltd
Deer & Boy $19.99 370 94% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Lifeline Games
EMUUROM $12.49 302 90% 9.1k $113k (exactly $113,159) borbware
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft
HARMONIC REFLECTIONS $14.99 80 93% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Laplacian
Cavern Adventurers $8.99 117 48% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,555) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Wirm $6.99 147 93% 4.4k $31k (exactly $30,826) Sbug Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.