Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Mystery

Of 226 developers who shipped a Mystery 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 389 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×680 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 389 games are announced against 125 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 389 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 226
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $809 → $598 → $418 → $1.3k → $598 → $861 (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 226
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,998)
Top 5% $323k (exactly $323,106)
Developers, 2 yr 226
Released games 641
Announced 389
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, Puzzle
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.50 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.50 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 24,065 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 123 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 389 games are announced against 125 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Night in the Woods older $19.99 17,760 94% 533k $11M (exactly $10,650,672) Infinite Fall
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo older $19.99 6,123 95% 184k $3.7M (exactly $3,671,963) Square Enix
Hidden Deep · EA older $24.99 4,293 76% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,218,462) Cogwheel Software
Creaks older $19.99 5,323 95% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,192,203) Amanita Design
The Pedestrian older $19.99 5,173 96% 155k $3.1M (exactly $3,102,248) Skookum Arts
INMOST older $14.99 5,928 90% 178k $2.7M (exactly $2,665,822) Hidden Layer Games
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
Threefold Recital $14.99 5,117 98% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,301,115) Everscape Games
Owlboy older $19.99 3,679 85% 110k $2.2M (exactly $2,206,296) D-Pad Studio
Öoo $9.99 6,575 99% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,970,528) NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuy… (NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuyomi)
Kugayama Shiori's Death Diary $24.99 987 95% 30k $740k (exactly $739,954) Laplacian
CYAN BRAIN $14.99 1,463 89% 44k $658k (exactly $657,911) NEKOUJI
BLADECHIMERA $14.99 1,358 88% 41k $611k (exactly $610,693) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
Planet of Lana II $19.99 875 91% 26k $525k (exactly $524,738) Wishfully
Bionic Bay $19.99 750 84% 23k $450k (exactly $449,775) Psychoflow Studio, Mureena Oy
FLAM EVAW $9.99 1,378 95% 41k $413k (exactly $412,987) 北京万合瑞晟文化传媒有限公司
Blood Money: Lethal Eden $8.99 1,262 91% 38k $340k (exactly $340,361) 碧火互娱

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.