Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Lovecraftian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Lovecraftian 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Lovecraftian

Of 20 developers who shipped a Lovecraftian 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×1182 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 33 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Lovecraftian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $76k → $1.2k → $1.4k → $3.1k → $539 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Lovecraftian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 5% $561k (exactly $561,319)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 60
Announced 33
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Lovecraftian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Side Scroller, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
We Need To Go Deeper older $15.99 4,652 86% 140k $2.2M (exactly $2,231,564) Deli Interactive LLC
Source of Madness older $19.99 1,410 69% 42k $846k (exactly $845,577) Carry Castle
They Bleed Pixels older $9.99 2,040 84% 61k $611k (exactly $611,388) Spooky Squid Games Inc.
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition older $24.99 786 71% 24k $589k (exactly $589,264) Plot Twist
Voidwrought $19.99 936 77% 28k $561k (exactly $561,319) Powersnake
Elderand older $19.99 552 75% 17k $331k (exactly $331,034) Mantra, Sinergia Games
Endless Voyage / 无尽航线 older $16.99 407 65% 12k $207k (exactly $207,448) Dalaran Game Studio
Angel's Gear older $9.99 254 73% 7.6k $76k (exactly $76,124) Scumhead
Terror At Oakheart older $7.99 274 85% 8.2k $66k (exactly $65,678) Tainted Pact
Candlelight: Lament older $9.99 82 90% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) 正方形劳伦斯
VonGarland Castle : Beyond Blood $14.99 42 57% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Ash Jackson
Rumbral $12.99 30 76% 900 $12k (exactly $11,691) OSEA Innovations
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室
Eldritch Climb: A Cursed Ascent · EA $12.99 12 100% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Covert Wonders
Bio Fail $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Langonier
Paw Paw Destiny $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Daiyu.studio
Futanari's Secret: The Forest $2.99 16 93% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Red Sasori
Herba Project : Desktop Lab $3.99 11 45% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) IndieCain
Kuentame $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) ApeHardware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.